dwl,
good to hear about your neuros statement about the BFS incidence
and the biochemist's confirmation of exercise related CPK elevation
I assume the clinical paper that yor neuro mentioned was the well
known Mayo Study (a follow up of 100+ BFS-patients (by definition
all with clean EMG!) over an avaergae of 7 years where *none*
developed any form of MND)
you can read the full text here:
As for the other Study about the 6.7% twitching-onset ALS cases,
unfortunately I haven't been able to get a copy of the full text yet.
It is not avaiable online nor have I found a copy at local medical libraries.
What I do know from "second hand" (older posts at the MGH forum about the study) is the following:
1. those 6.7% were the ones that presented with fascics as the only
complain (i.e. they went to the doc beacsue of fascics only)
2. with theses patients fascics were also the only *physical sign*
upon neuro examination (I do, however, not know wether this also included a negative EMG (I strongly suspect, however, that the EMG
would not have been negative in this cases)
3. The mean time before the onset of more serious symptoms like weakness was 7 months (2.4 to 13.4 months)
Anyone any more informations about this study ?
The third point I find rather discuraging, since it sets the time frame
for our "BFS waiting game" to over a year before you are finally in the clear. (not to mention those anecdotal stories on the web, where
PALS report two or three years before weakness onset
However, I think with clean EMGs you can put your mind at rest much earlier (I assume most of the 6.7% twitching-onset PALS would have shown EMG-abnormalties much earlier before weakness onset)
Generally, as far as the negative predictive value of EMG tests is concerned, there is contradictory information:
Among forum members the consensus is that every EMG will almost always detect any MND, no matter how soon in the desease process or
how many (or few) muscles tested.
However, there are more prudent statements from neurologists or ALS specialists (for example at the Cleveland Clinic neuro forum) stating
that only after 6 months to 1 year after sx onset could a EMG completely
rule out ALS...
Peronally, I feel that the truth lies somewhere in between and that
a clean EMG (even if done soon after sx onset) should at least very very reassuring. Note that in the Mayo study out of 100+ clen-EMG-twitchers not a single one developed ALS !
Unfortunately, I have not had an EMG yet out of fear (partly of a
possibly positive result and partly out of fear of a false positive result)
but thats another story (see my separate post from NOV 10)